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Tlaxcala vs Dorados de Sinaloa Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala
Tlaxcala Logo

Tlaxcala

2 - 0
FT
Dorados de Sinaloa Logo

Dorados de Sinaloa

Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Egana A. In: Suarez L.
Out: Egana A.
62'
Sub
Castillo E. In: Hernandez E.
Out: Castillo E.
65'
Sub
Vazquez O. In: Ramos A.
Out: Vazquez O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tlaxcala in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tlaxcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tlaxcala
35%
Draws
25%
Dorados de Sinaloa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tlaxcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tlaxcala have won more games recently than Dorados de Sinaloa.
  • Model gives Tlaxcala a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 68%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tlaxcala Dorados de Sinaloa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tlaxcala
2:2
Apr 3, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Dorados de Sinaloa
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tlaxcala
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala vs Dorados de Sinaloa
3:2
Oct 13, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Tlaxcala
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tlaxcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dorados de Sinaloa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tlaxcala 59 / 100
Dorados de Sinaloa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tlaxcala Dorados de Sinaloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorados de Sinaloa let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tlaxcala scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tlaxcala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tlaxcala VS Dorados de Sinaloa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tlaxcala

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1
Cancun
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0
Tlaxcala
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6

Dorados de Sinaloa

(Away)
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3
Dorados de Sinaloa
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1
Alacranes de Durango
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1
Dorados de Sinaloa
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1
Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1
Tapatio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 7 5 2 21:10 26
2 Cancun 14 7 4 3 24:17 25
3 Club Atletico Morelia 14 7 2 5 18:12 23
4 Atletico La Paz 14 5 7 2 22:12 22
5 Jaiba Brava 14 6 3 5 15:15 21
6 Zacatecas Mineros 14 6 3 5 19:20 21
7 Tapatio 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
8 Atlante 14 5 5 4 21:17 20
9 Irapuato 14 6 2 6 27:24 20
10 Tlaxcala 14 5 5 4 16:17 20
11 Venados FC 14 4 4 6 25:25 16
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14 4 4 6 20:29 16
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 14 3 4 7 17:28 13
14 Correcaminos 14 3 3 8 14:27 12
15 Leones Negros 14 2 5 7 15:25 11
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)