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Tlaxcala vs Pachuca

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bautista A.
17' Event
Idrissi O.
25' Event
Montiel E.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tlaxcala
35%
Draws
32%
Pachuca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pachuca lately — more wins on the board than Tlaxcala.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tlaxcala taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 15%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tlaxcala Pachuca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Tlaxcala vs Pachuca
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tlaxcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamora M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bautista A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idrissi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tlaxcala 35 / 100
Pachuca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tlaxcala Pachuca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tlaxcala found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Pachuca let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Tlaxcala remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tlaxcala VS Pachuca
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tlaxcala

(Home)
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Venados FC
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2
Tlaxcala
16 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2
Tlaxcala
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Pachuca

(Away)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
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