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Tlemcen vs Arba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tlemcen host Arba in the Ligue 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tlemcen have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Arba's 0.89 scored and 1.15 conceded. Head-to-head, Tlemcen have won 2 to Arba's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Tlemcen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tlemcen
15%
Draws
42%
Arba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tlemcen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Arba have managed 0.89 goals a game lately — Tlemcen are scoring more at 0.93.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Tlemcen taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tlemcen Clean Sheet 68%
Arba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tlemcen Arba
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs Arba
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Arba vs Tlemcen
2:1
Sep 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs Arba
3:1
Apr 16, 2022 Ligue 1
Tlemcen vs Arba
2:1
Dec 24, 2021 Ligue 1
Arba vs Tlemcen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tlemcen 59 / 100
Arba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tlemcen Arba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tlemcen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tlemcen scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Arba has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Arba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tlemcen VS Arba
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tlemcen

(Home)
26 Sept
RC Kouba
2 : 0
Tlemcen
19 Sept
Tlemcen
2 : 1
JSM Tiaret
08 May
CR Temouchent
2 : 0
Tlemcen
01 May
Tlemcen
2 : 0
Kolea
25 Apr
JS El Biar
1 : 0
Tlemcen
Page 1 of 6

Arba

(Away)
19 Sept
GC Mascara
3 : 0
Arba
09 May
JS El Biar
4 : 1
Arba
01 May
Arba
2 : 1
Bechar Djedid
25 Apr
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
Arba
18 Apr
Arba
2 : 0
Adrar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annaba 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Skikda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Magra 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
4 Azazga 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 MO Constantine 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 MSP Batna 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Khroub 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 MO Bejaia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Paradou 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Beni Oulbane 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 IRB Nezla 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 US Chaouia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 JS Djijel 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Telaghema 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
15 CA Batna 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
16 Beni Thour 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Kouba 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 USM Blida 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Saida 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Harrach 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 GC Mascara 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
6 WA Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Mostaganem 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Sidi Benali 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
9 ASM Oran 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
10 Hussein Dey 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
11 Tlemcen 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Kolea 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
13 El Bayadh 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
14 JSM Tiaret 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
15 Arba 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Taghit 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)