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Tlemcen vs USM Blida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2023/2024
Tlemcen Logo

Tlemcen

1 - 0
FT
USM Blida Logo

USM Blida

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tlemcen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tlemcen
15%
Draws
46%
USM Blida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Blida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tlemcen come out ahead of USM Blida on wins alone.
  • Model gives USM Blida a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Tlemcen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tlemcen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tlemcen Clean Sheet 20%
USM Blida Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tlemcen USM Blida
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Algeria Cup
Tlemcen vs USM Blida
1:0
Jan 5, 2019 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs USM Blida
3:1
Aug 10, 2018 Ligue 2
USM Blida vs Tlemcen
0:0
Mar 27, 2015 Ligue 2
USM Blida vs Tlemcen
1:0
Oct 24, 2014 Ligue 2
Tlemcen vs USM Blida
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tlemcen 28 / 100
USM Blida 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tlemcen USM Blida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Blida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Blida let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tlemcen scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tlemcen remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tlemcen VS USM Blida
0.88 Goals Scored 1.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.6
50% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Tlemcen

(Home)
26 Sept
RC Kouba
2 : 0
Tlemcen
19 Sept
Tlemcen
2 : 1
JSM Tiaret
08 May
CR Temouchent
2 : 0
Tlemcen
01 May
Tlemcen
2 : 0
Kolea
25 Apr
JS El Biar
1 : 0
Tlemcen
Page 1 of 6

USM Blida

(Away)
03 Oct
GC Mascara
1 : 1
USM Blida
26 Sept
USM Blida
3 : 1
Sidi Benali
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
03 Jan
USM Blida
0 : 1
Sedrata
03 Feb
Tlemcen
1 : 0
USM Blida
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Azazga 5
Tebessa 0
CR Ben Badis 2
JSM Sidi Salem 1
Tlemcen 1
USM Blida 0
Bougtob 0
Saoura 2
Khenchela 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 0
GC Mascara 2
MB Hassi Messaoud 1
CR Zaouia 1
Adrar 0
Telaghema 0
MC Alger 2
CA Batna 2
Bouakeul 0
Annaba 3
SA Setif 2
NR Tazoughert 1
ES Setif 2
Magra 0
Constantine 2
US Souf 1
ES Ben Aknoun 3
ASM Oran 2
IB Khemis El Khechna 0
Ghozlane 0
Hydra 1
JS Djijel 2
Ouled Yaich 0
Kabylie 0
CR Belouizdad 2
Khroub 5
CRB Henaya 0
Beni Thamou 0
Olympique Akbou 1
El Bayadh 1
SC Mecheria 2
Tighenif 2
JS El Biar 1
SCM Oran 0
Mostaganem 3
Hussein Dey 2
WA Mostaganem 1
MO Constantine 4
IR Bouhani Tiaret 1
Boukhadra 2
USM Alger 5
Rouisset 1
Guir Abadla 0
US Chaouia 3
JSM Tiaret 1
Bougaa 2
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
AB Barika 1
ASO Chlef 2
Biskra 3
Bordj Ghedir 0
Ouargla 0
Paradou 1
Oran 3
Beni Thour 0
1/16-finals
Azazga 2
CR Ben Badis 1
Tlemcen 1
Saoura 0
Khenchela 3
GC Mascara 2
CR Zaouia 1
MC Alger 4
CA Batna 0
Annaba 1
ES Setif 1
Constantine 2
ES Ben Aknoun 3
ASM Oran 0
Hydra 0
JS Djijel 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Khroub 1
Olympique Akbou 2
SC Mecheria 0
Tighenif 1
Mostaganem 3
Hussein Dey 1
MO Constantine 0
USM Alger 8
Rouisset 0
US Chaouia 1
Bougaa 2
ASO Chlef 2
Biskra 3
Paradou 1
Oran 2
1/8-finals
Azazga 2
Tlemcen 3
Khenchela 1
MC Alger 2
Annaba 0
Constantine 2
ES Ben Aknoun 1
JS Djijel 0
CR Belouizdad 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Mostaganem 2
Hussein Dey 1
USM Alger 7
Bougaa 0
Biskra 1
Oran 0
Quarter-finals
Tlemcen 0
MC Alger 2
Constantine 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
CR Belouizdad 4
Mostaganem 3
USM Alger 3
Biskra 1
Semi-finals
MC Alger 2
Constantine 1
CR Belouizdad 1
USM Alger 0
Final
MC Alger 0
CR Belouizdad 1