Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Daniels J.
9'
9'
Cavanagh S.
39'
39'
Clark B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with TNS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porthmadog
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- TNS carry the better recent record into this one.
- TNS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- TNS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor TNS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
TNS Clean Sheet 20%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TNS | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2023 League Cup
TNS vs Porthmadog
4:1
Aug 19, 2014 League Cup
Porthmadog vs TNS
0:2
Mar 16, 2010 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Porthmadog
5:0
Dec 15, 2009 Cymru Premier
Porthmadog vs TNS
1:1
Feb 15, 2009 Cymru Premier
Porthmadog vs TNS
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TNS Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniels J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Clark B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Porthmadog Compare
Top Goalscorer Cavanagh S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TNS 36 / 100
Porthmadog 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TNS Porthmadog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TNS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Porthmadog's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
TNS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TNS VS Porthmadog
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
TNS
(Home) 14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0 Briton Ferry
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0 Haverfordwest
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0 TNS
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1 Flora
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0 TNS
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0 Briton Ferry
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0 Haverfordwest
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1 Flora
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2 Sabah Baku
03 Apr
TNS
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 4
Porthmadog
(Away) 08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Rhyl
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
13 Dec
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Rhyl
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2 Port Talbot
18 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Buckley
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
28 Jun
Ruthin Town
4 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Sept
Queens Park
1 : 6 Porthmadog
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
16 Mar
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Swansea U21 4
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 3
Trefelin -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Ammanford Town 2
Abergavenny Town 0
Briton Ferry 2
Goytre Utd 1
Llantwit Major 2
Penybont -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 1
Afan Lido 3
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Taffs Well 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Llanelli 1
Pontardawe 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Guilsfield 3
Ruthin Town 3
Llandudno FC 2
TBD -
Bala -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Llanidloes Town 2
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Bangor 1876 3
TBD -
Gresford -
1/16-finals
Swansea U21 3
Caerau Ely 1
Haverfordwest 0
Cardiff U21 4
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Briton Ferry 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penybont 1
Afan Lido 2
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 1
Aberystwyth 2
Llanelli 1
Pontypridd United 4
Newtown 1
Guilsfield 2
Ruthin Town 0
Bala 4
Prestatyn 2
Flint Town 1
Colwyn Bay 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 3
Buckley 3
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 0
Gresford 3
1/8-finals
Swansea U21 2
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Afan Lido 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Aberystwyth 0
Pontypridd United 1
Guilsfield 1
Bala 0
Prestatyn 3
Colwyn Bay 2
TNS 4
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Gresford 1
Quarter-finals
Swansea U21 6
Briton Ferry 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Guilsfield 2
Prestatyn 1
TNS 9
Gresford 0
Semi-finals
Swansea U21 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Guilsfield 0
TNS 2
Final
Swansea U21 1
TNS 5
