Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Park Hall, Oswestry

TNS

1 - 2

Sabah Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

Lepinjica I.

28'

Mickels J.

Assist: Malouda A.

42'

Dashdamirov R.

Assist: Puchacz T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sabah Baku advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

TNS

30%

Draws

34%

Sabah Baku

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and TNS come out ahead of Sabah Baku on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on TNS taking it.
TNS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sabah Baku, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

TNS Clean Sheet 16%

Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TNS	Sabah Baku
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	21	20
Draws	1	6
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	0.83	2
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.83	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Champions League

TNS vs Sabah Baku

1:2

Jul 7, 2026 Champions League

Sabah Baku vs TNS

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lock J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.64

Avg xA / game 0.41

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickels J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dashdamirov R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 36 / 100

Sabah Baku 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TNS Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: TNS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Sabah Baku

0.83 Goals Scored 2

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

67% Over 1.5 75%

33% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)

14 Jul

TNS

1 : 2

Sabah Baku

07 Jul

Sabah Baku

2 : 0

TNS

26 Jun

Harland & Wolff

1 : 2

TNS

24 Jun

Glentoran

1 : 1

TNS

18 Apr

Barry Town

0 : 1

TNS

Page 1 of 6

Sabah Baku

(Away)

14 Jul

TNS

1 : 2

Sabah Baku

07 Jul

Sabah Baku

2 : 0

TNS

02 Jul

Polissya Zhytomyr

4 : 1

Sabah Baku

28 Jun

Ferencvaros

1 : 1

Sabah Baku

24 Jun

Univ. Craiova

1 : 1

Sabah Baku

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Thun-

TBD-

Din. Zagreb-

Klaksvik4

Bissen2

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Drita3

Mjallby-

TBD-

Lincoln Red Imps4

Inter Escaldes2

Flora4

Iberia 19995

TBD-

Slovan Bratislava-

Borac Banja Luka1

Levski Sofia5

ML Vitebsk1

Univ. Craiova5

Omonia-

TBD-

Kairat Almaty4

Sutjeska1

Aarhus-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Sabah Baku4

TNS1

Vardar3

KuPS4

Ararat-Armenia4

Riga FC3

Floriana3

Shamrock Rovers5

Petrocub Hincesti2

KF Egnatia7

TBD-

Celje-

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Gyor2

TBD-

H. Beer Sheva-

Tre Fiori1

Larne3

TBD-

Crvena zvezda-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Sturm Graz-

TBD-

Hearts-

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Thun1

Din. Zagreb1

Klaksvik0

FK Kauno Zalgiris0

Mjallby3

Lincoln Red Imps0

Iberia 19990

Slovan Bratislava2

Levski Sofia1

Univ. Craiova0

Omonia1

Kairat Almaty0

Aarhus1

Lech Poznan4

Sabah Baku1

KuPS0

Ararat-Armenia2

Shamrock Rovers0

KF Egnatia3

Celje3

Vikingur Reykjavik2

H. Beer Sheva1

Larne0

Crvena zvezda4

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce1

Gornik Zabrze0

Sturm Graz4

Hearts0

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sparta Prague-

Lyon-

TBD-

Final

TBD-