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Tobacco Road vs North Carolina FC U23

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Tobacco Road and North Carolina FC U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina FC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tobacco Road
33%
Draws
40%
North Carolina FC U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: North Carolina FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Carolina FC U23 come out ahead of Tobacco Road on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Carolina FC U23 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobacco Road North Carolina FC U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road
0:0
May 24, 2026 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs North Carolina FC U23
2:4
Jun 29, 2025 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs North Carolina FC U23
1:3
May 24, 2025 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road
1:1
Jul 3, 2024 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Tobacco Road
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobacco Road 26 / 100
North Carolina FC U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobacco Road North Carolina FC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobacco Road found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

North Carolina FC U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

North Carolina FC U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tobacco Road VS North Carolina FC U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobacco Road

(Home)
11 Jul
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Port City
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
24 Jun
Hickory FC
4 : 0
Tobacco Road
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North Carolina FC U23

(Away)
11 Jul
Charlotte Independence 2
3 : 1
North Carolina FC U23
08 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
3 : 5
Charlotte Eagles
05 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 2
Asheville City
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
20 Jun
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 1
Port City
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