Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
McCavitt S.
61'
61'
McIlhatton D.
72'
72'
McCavitt M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Banbridge advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobermore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tobermore carry the better recent record into this one.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Tobermore taking it.
- Tobermore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Banbridge, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Banbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobermore | Banbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.43 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.43 | 3.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2022 Irish League Cup
Tobermore vs Banbridge
1:3
Mar 31, 2012 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Banbridge
1:1
Aug 13, 2011 NIFL Championship
Banbridge vs Tobermore
1:3
Apr 25, 2009 NIFL Championship
Banbridge vs Tobermore
1:0
Mar 21, 2009 NIFL Championship
Tobermore vs Banbridge
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tobermore Compare
Top Goalscorer McIlhatton D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Banbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer McCavitt S.
1 Goals Assists Leader McCavitt M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tobermore 56 / 100
Banbridge 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tobermore Banbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Banbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Banbridge registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tobermore scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Tobermore VS Banbridge
2 Goals Scored 0.75
3.43 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
86% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tobermore
(Home) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 7
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
06 Aug
Tobermore
1 : 3 Banbridge
26 Jul
Tobermore
1 : 3 Ballymena
07 Aug
Tobermore
1 : 4 Ballymena
02 Nov
Tobermore
1 : 3 Larne Technical Old Boys
Page 1 of 3
Banbridge
(Away) 12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2 Banbridge
30 Nov
Knockbreda
3 : 0 Banbridge
13 Aug
Ballymacash
3 : 0 Banbridge
19 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 1 Coagh Utd
05 Aug
Banbridge
0 : 4 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2 Banbridge
30 Nov
Knockbreda
3 : 0 Banbridge
13 Aug
Ballymacash
3 : 0 Banbridge
04 Jul
Newry City
4 : 0 Banbridge
07 Jan
Portadown
2 : 0 Banbridge
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 1
Banbridge 3
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Dollingstown 2
Ballymacash 1
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Moyola 4
Portstewart 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Larne -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 2
PSNI 1
1/16-finals
Harland & Wolff 0
Cliftonville 3
Carrick Rangers 5
Banbridge 0
Ballyclare 4
Ballinamallard 2
Limavady 0
Newry City 1
Ards 2
Ballymena 4
Coleraine 4
Dergview 0
Dungannon 3
Queens University 0
Portadown 5
Armagh 0
Glenavon 6
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 5
Knockbreda 0
Glentoran 7
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 1
Newington FC 0
Dundela 2
Crusaders 1
Moyola 1
Linfield 5
Bangor FC 0
Annagh 4
Larne 5
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 6
Carrick Rangers 0
Ballyclare 1
Newry City 2
Ballymena 0
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 2
Portadown 1
Glenavon 1
Loughgall 2
Glentoran 6
Warrenpoint 0
Dundela 0
Linfield 1
Annagh 2
Larne 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 3
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 0
Loughgall 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 3
Annagh 0
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 2
Coleraine 3
Glentoran 0
Linfield 3
Final
Coleraine 0
Linfield 2
