Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobermore vs Queens University

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2024/2025
Tue, Aug 13, 2024
3 - 4
05:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mairs J.
30' Event
O'Hara J.
42' Event
McKenna M.

AI Match Summary

Queens University in this Irish League Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Tobermore
15%
Draws
68%
Queens University
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Queens University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queens University lately — more wins on the board than Tobermore.
  • Queens University are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Queens University arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Queens University, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Queens University Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobermore Queens University
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 0 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 2.1 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2024 Irish League Cup
Tobermore vs Queens University
3:4
Nov 3, 2018 Irish Cup
Queens University vs Tobermore
6:3
Dec 5, 2015 Irish Cup
Queens University vs Tobermore
1:2
Apr 16, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Tobermore vs Queens University
0:3
Nov 6, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Queens University vs Tobermore
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobermore Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Mullan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forrest S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Queens University Compare

Top Goalscorer Mairs J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Hara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 10 / 100
Queens University 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobermore Queens University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queens University Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Tobermore found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Queens University has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Tobermore remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Queens University
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
Page 1 of 6

Queens University

(Away)
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Queens University
4 : 1
Institute
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Moyola 3
Oxford Sunnyside 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 3
Queens University 4
Ballymacash 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Institute -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Coagh Utd 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Dergview 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
1/16-finals
Moyola 2
Annagh 4
Carrick Rangers 0
Queens University 1
Ballymacash 0
Institute 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Loughgall 2
Armagh 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 4
Warrenpoint 0
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 0
Ards 1
Dundela 0
Linfield 3
Glentoran 2
Dergview 0
Ballyclare 2
Crusaders 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 5
Portstewart 0
Dollingstown 5
Newry City 1
1/8-finals
Annagh 2
Queens University 0
Institute 0
Larne 2
Armagh 1
Glenavon 0
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Linfield 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 3
Dollingstown 1
Quarter-finals
Annagh 0
Larne 5
Armagh 0
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Semi-finals
Larne 0
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 4
Crusaders 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0