Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobol 2 vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bazarbaev R.
6' Event
Zhaylaubaev A.
Assist: Toktasynov O.
32' Event
Musaev E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tobol 2
40%
Draws
29%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aktobe 2 lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Aktobe 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.13 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Aktobe 2
5:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazarbaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhaylaubaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muratov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Begimov A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 30 / 100
Aktobe 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Aktobe 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Tobol 2's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tobol 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Aktobe 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
2Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21314821:387