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Tobol 2 vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Tobol 2 Logo

Tobol 2

5 - 5
FT
Aktobe 2 Logo

Aktobe 2

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bazarbaev R.
6' Event
Zhailaubayev A.
Assist: Toktasynov O.
32' Event
Musaev E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tobol 2
15%
Draws
42%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aktobe 2 lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • Model gives Tobol 2 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Aktobe 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Aktobe 2
5:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazarbaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhailaubayev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aktobe 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muratov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Begimov A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 83 / 100
Aktobe 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aktobe 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 10.00 goals when they meet.

Tobol 2's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aktobe 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Aktobe 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

Aktobe 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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