Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobol 2 vs FC Astana 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Serikov N.
Assist: Akhmetov A.
61' Event
Zhaksylyk N.
Assist: Batyrkhan Z.
65' Event
Mustafin B.
Assist: Tokenov T.

AI Match Summary

FC Astana 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tobol 2
6%
Draws
90%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana 2 have won more games recently than Tobol 2.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 FC Astana 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs FC Astana 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhaksylyk N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Serikov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mustafin B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 10 / 100
FC Astana 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 FC Astana 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Tobol 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tobol 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS FC Astana 2
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276