Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League

Tobol 2

3 - 3

FC Ekibastuz

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Musaev E.

Assist: Bakitzhanov A.

33'

Mukhit A.

Assist: Orazbek A.

38'

Musaev E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Tobol 2

28%

Draws

50%

FC Ekibastuz

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

FC Ekibastuz have won more games recently than Tobol 2.
FC Ekibastuz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tobol 2	FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played	33	35
Wins	4	14
Draws	10	5
Losses	19	16
Goals Scored	1.75	1.5
Goals Conceded	3.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 First League

Tobol 2 vs FC Ekibastuz

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Musaev E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Zhaylaubaev A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhit A.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 22 / 100

FC Ekibastuz 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tobol 2 FC Ekibastuz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ekibastuz conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Tobol 2 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: Tobol 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS FC Ekibastuz

1.75 Goals Scored 1.5

3.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty 2	14	12	2	0	50:7	38
2	Shakhter Karagandy	14	12	1	1	38:5	37
3	Turan	14	9	1	4	29:11	28
4	FC Astana 2	14	7	2	5	25:22	23
5	Akademiya Ontustik	14	7	2	5	22:19	23
6	Jaiyq	14	6	1	7	11:18	19
7	Taraz	14	5	2	7	20:20	17
8	Khan Tengri	14	5	2	7	18:26	17
9	FC Ekibastuz	14	4	5	5	17:26	17
10	Aktobe 2	14	4	5	5	27:40	17
11	Kaspij Aktau 2	14	4	3	7	16:28	15
12	Arys	14	3	1	10	15:32	10
13	Yelimay Semey 2	14	2	3	9	11:27	9
14	Tobol 2	14	1	4	9	23:41	7