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Tobol 2 vs Khan Tengri

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Emirov R.
14' Event
Bizhan A.
Assist: Umirzak D.
27' Event
Sarsenbek R.
Assist: Kulbayuly I.

AI Match Summary

Khan Tengri in this First League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khan Tengri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tobol 2
15%
Draws
59%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Khan Tengri lately — more wins on the board than Tobol 2.
  • Model gives Tobol 2 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Khan Tengri
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Khan Tengri
3:4
May 22, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Tobol 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazarbaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toktasynov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Khan Tengri Compare

Top Goalscorer Emirov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bizhan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 35 / 100
Khan Tengri 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khan Tengri conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tobol 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Tobol 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Khan Tengri
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol 2

(Home)
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
13 Aug
FC Astana 2
0 : 4
Tobol 2
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

Khan Tengri

(Away)
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0
Arys
06 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 21 19 1 1 62:7 58
2 Kairat Almaty 2 21 16 4 1 62:10 52
3 Turan 21 14 2 5 44:19 44
4 Akademiya Ontustik 21 12 3 6 35:27 39
5 Jaiyq 21 9 3 9 20:24 30
6 FC Astana 2 21 9 2 10 33:40 29
7 Taraz 21 8 4 9 27:29 28
8 FC Ekibastuz 21 7 5 9 29:41 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 21 7 4 10 28:36 25
10 Khan Tengri 21 7 3 11 26:39 24
11 Aktobe 2 21 6 5 10 36:62 23
12 Arys 21 5 3 13 23:41 18
13 Yelimay Semey 2 21 3 3 15 16:42 12
14 Tobol 2 21 2 4 15 32:56 10
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