Sport Picks

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Tobol 2 vs Turan

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Tobol 2 Logo

Tobol 2

2 - 3
FT
Turan Logo

Turan

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Duysenbekuly K.
Assist: Saidov E.
22' Event
Duysenbekuly K.
Assist: Narzildaev D.
24' Event
Zinadin A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Turan in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tobol 2
15%
Draws
69%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Turan have won more games recently than Tobol 2.
  • Turan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Turan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol 2 Turan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 First League
Turan vs Tobol 2
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Turan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zinadin A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Turan Compare

Top Goalscorer Duysenbekuly K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mukhametzhanov U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol 2 10 / 100
Turan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol 2 Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tobol 2 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Turan has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Tobol 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol 2 VS Turan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol 2

(Home)
13 Aug
FC Astana 2
0 : 4
Tobol 2
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
31 Jul
Tobol 2
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
17 Jul
Tobol 2
2 : 3
Akademiya Ontustik
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Turan

(Away)
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
07 Aug
Turan
5 : 1
FC Astana 2
30 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Turan
24 Jul
Turan
2 : 1
Tobol 2
16 Jul
Arys
0 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 18 16 1 1 51:7 49
2 Kairat Almaty 2 18 13 4 1 56:10 43
3 Turan 18 12 2 4 37:13 38
4 Akademiya Ontustik 18 9 3 6 28:23 30
5 FC Astana 2 18 8 2 8 29:33 26
6 Jaiyq 18 8 2 8 18:23 26
7 FC Ekibastuz 18 7 5 6 24:31 26
8 Taraz 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 18 7 3 8 27:31 24
10 Khan Tengri 18 5 3 10 19:32 18
11 Aktobe 2 18 4 5 9 29:58 17
12 Arys 18 4 2 12 19:38 14
13 Yelimay Semey 2 18 3 3 12 14:32 12
14 Tobol 2 18 2 4 12 28:48 10
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