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Tobol W vs Altai W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Osipova P.
Assist: Kompaniets D.
36' Event
Osipova P.
50' Event
Nurkabaeva D.
Assist: Tsoy V.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Tobol W and Altai W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tobol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tobol W
30%
Draws
47%
Altai W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altai W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tobol W come out ahead of Altai W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 13%
Altai W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol W Altai W
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 9 1
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.56
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 League Women
Altai W vs Tobol W
1:1
May 12, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs Altai W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipova P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nurkabaeva D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Altai W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol W 30 / 100
Altai W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol W Altai W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altai W has conceded goals in 94% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Altai W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tobol W found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Tobol W VS Altai W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol W

(Home)
08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0
Tobol W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0
Tobol W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey W
17 Aug
Altai W
1 : 1
Tobol W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3
Kyzylzhar W
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Altai W

(Away)
08 Sept
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0
Altai W
31 Aug
Altai W
1 : 2
Okzhetpes W
25 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
0 : 0
Altai W
17 Aug
Altai W
1 : 1
Tobol W
11 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0
Altai W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)