Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

League Women Centralnyj Stadion

Tobol W

4 - 2

Okzhetpes W

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Nurkabaeva D.

Assist: Berikova D.

25'

Zhusupova A.

34'

Osipova P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tobol W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tobol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tobol W

Draws

Okzhetpes W

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tobol W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Okzhetpes W haven't matched Tobol W's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Tobol W taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Tobol W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%

Tobol W Clean Sheet 13%

Okzhetpes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tobol W	Okzhetpes W
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	1
Draws	3	1
Losses	16	26
Goals Scored	1.38	0.5
Goals Conceded	2.88	6.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	6.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 League Women

Tobol W vs Okzhetpes W

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Sep 15, 2025 League Women

Okzhetpes W vs Tobol W

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

0:5

Jun 23, 2025 League Women

Tobol W vs Okzhetpes W

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurkabaeva D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Osipova P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Okzhetpes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhusupova A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kusainova A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol W 84 / 100

Okzhetpes W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tobol W Okzhetpes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes W has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Okzhetpes W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Tobol W scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol W VS Okzhetpes W

1.38 Goals Scored 0.5

2.88 Goals Conceded 6.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BIIK Shymkent W	9	9	0	0	81:0	27
2	Tomiris-Turan W	9	7	0	2	22:7	21
3	Kaisar Kyzylorda W	9	6	1	2	14:13	19
4	Atyrau W	9	4	2	3	14:19	14
5	Kairat W	8	4	1	3	20:10	13
6	Ordabasy W	9	3	2	4	10:22	11
7	Zhetysu W	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
8	Ulytau W	9	0	1	8	1:36	1
9	Kaspij Aktau W	8	0	1	7	0:42	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aktobe W	10	10	0	0	104:1	30
2	Zhenis Astana W	10	8	1	1	49:18	25
3	Kyzylzhar W	9	5	2	2	29:10	17
4	Yelimay Semey W	10	5	1	4	26:20	16
5	FC Astana W	9	5	0	4	17:22	15
6	Tobol W	9	4	0	5	11:27	12
7	Ertis Pavlodar W	9	3	2	4	12:13	11
8	Shakhter Karagandy W	10	2	1	7	5:61	7
9	Okzhetpes W	9	1	0	8	8:51	3
10	Altai W	9	0	1	8	5:43	1