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Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

2 - 1
FT
Araguacema Logo

Araguacema

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
37%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantinopolis lately — more wins on the board than Araguacema.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tocantinopolis taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Araguacema
Matches Played 59 32
Wins 34 12
Draws 14 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.12 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema
2:1
Dec 30, 2021 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema
1:0
Dec 27, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Tocantinopolis
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tocantinense
Araguacema vs Tocantinopolis
1:0
Mar 4, 2020 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguacema
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 42 / 100
Araguacema 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Araguacema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis scored in 81% of their last 59 games.

Araguacema has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 12

Araguacema

(Away)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 9 7 1 1 28:8 22
2 Capital FC 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Interporto 9 5 4 0 16:5 19
4 Uniao Carmolandense 9 5 3 1 11:8 18
5 Bela Vista-TO 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
6 Palmas 9 2 3 4 16:11 9
7 Nova Conquista 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Araguacema 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
9 Gurupi 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Tocantins 9 0 1 8 4:41 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 (Play Offs)