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Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

2 - 0
FT
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tocantinopolis
20%
Draws
29%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis have won more games recently than Araguaina.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Araguaina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Tocantinopolis
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Tocantinopolis
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Araguaina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 30 / 100
Araguaina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Araguaina conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tocantinopolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Araguaina
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
3 Interporto 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
2 SD Sparta 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
3 Cerrado 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 Araguaina 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 8 1 3 4 14:20 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)