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Tocantinopolis vs Kabure EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2009 game between Tocantinopolis and Kabure EC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tocantinopolis
11%
Draws
9%
Kabure EC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tocantinopolis's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Kabure EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Kabure EC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2009 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Tocantinopolis
2:2
Mar 22, 2009 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Kabure EC
3:2
Apr 21, 2008 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Kabure EC
2:0
Mar 23, 2008 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Tocantinopolis
1:0
May 1, 2007 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Tocantinopolis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 76 / 100
Kabure EC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Kabure EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tocantinopolis scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Kabure EC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tocantinopolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Kabure EC

(Away)
16 May
Kabure EC
0 : 0
Araguaina
03 May
Kabure EC
2 : 2
Tocantinopolis
01 May
Kabure EC
3 : 0
Ipiranga TO
25 Apr
Tubarao
4 : 1
Kabure EC
22 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Kabure EC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araguaina18114336:1337
2Palmas18105334:1735
3Paraiso EC1886434:1730
4Gurupi1793531:1830
5Tubarao1885533:1929
6Tocantinopolis1885528:3029
7Juventude TO1883729:2227
8Tocantins1846822:3818
9Kabure EC17251019:3811
10Ipiranga TO1800180:540
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2009 (Quarter-finals Round)