Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantinopolis vs Oratorio

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vieira R.
41' Event
Gomes A.
43' Event
Daelson

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Serie D matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tocantinopolis
6%
Draws
4%
Oratorio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis have won more games recently than Oratorio.
  • Model gives Tocantinopolis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 17%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Oratorio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs Oratorio
7:1
Apr 22, 2026 Serie D
Oratorio vs Tocantinopolis
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel Costa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vieira R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Oratorio Compare

Top Goalscorer Jari J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 84 / 100
Oratorio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Oratorio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tocantinopolis scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Oratorio has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Oratorio
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Oratorio

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara1064013:522
2Nacional-AM (Manaus)1062215:920
3Sao Raimundo RR1034310:713
4Monte Roraima1024411:1410
5Manaus FC102448:1310
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio101278:175
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guapore1064019:922
2Porto Velho1053233:918
3Araguaina1053231:918
4Independencia Futebol Clube1043317:1015
5Galvez1031614:3110
6SC Humaita1000104:500
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama1082023:626
2Luverdense1043311:1015
3Brasiliense1035211:1014
4Aparecidense1034313:1213
5Primavera AC1033410:1312
6Inhumas100193:201
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital1072116:623
2Goiatuba EC1054113:719
3Ceilandia103349:1012
4Mixto1026210:912
5Uniao Rondonopolis1023511:189
6Operario VG101277:165
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trem1062219:1320
2Aguia De Maraba1053220:1118
3Imperatriz1043315:1015
4Tuna Luso1034314:1713
5Tocantinopolis1033418:1812
6Oratorio1011812:294
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iguatu1055014:720
2Maracana1054112:619
3Parnahyba1042411:1314
4Sampaio Correa1034312:613
5Moto Club102358:159
6IAPE1004610:204
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario1063115:721
2Piaui1052314:1117
3Fluminense-PI1035212:914
4AE Altos103259:1511
5Tirol1024410:1010
6Atletico Cearense101456:147
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ABC1072115:623
2America RN1063114:321
3Maguary103438:513
4Central SC103438:713
5Sousa103164:1110
6Laguna RN100283:202
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treze PB1052318:1417
2Sergipe1043315:1315
3Serra Branca1036112:815
4Lagarto1034314:1513
5Retro1033413:1512
6Decisao1022610:178
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA1063125:821
2Juazeirense1052312:917
3ASA1044211:716
4Jacuipense1034312:1413
5Clube Sociedade Esportiva1023510:179
6Alagoinhas101275:205
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberlandia1053212:818
2Betim FC1043312:915
3CRAC103437:713
4Ivinhema103439:1213
5ABECAT Ouvidorense103348:912
6Operario MS102359:129
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Democrata GV1052313:917
2Tombense1045113:617
3Vitoria ES1043312:815
4Rio Branco ES1034314:1213
5Porto-BA103169:2110
6Real Noroeste101546:118
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa1063116:621
2Agua Santa1052316:817
3Portuguesa RJ1035214:914
4America RJ1033411:2112
5Madureira1032511:1611
6Pouso Alegre102176:147
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piracicaba1045114:917
2Noroeste1043312:715
3Velo Clube1034310:1013
4Sampaio Correa FE103348:1012
5Nova Iguacu103347:1012
6Marica103259:1411
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Catarina1061315:919
2Cianorte105149:816
3FC Cascavel104339:415
4Sao Luiz1043311:915
5Joinville1043310:815
6Guarany de Bage101182:184
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blumenau1061314:819
2Marcilio Dias104429:516
3Sao Joseense103433:413
4EC Sao Jose (PA)103436:813
5Brasil de Pelotas102449:1210
6Azuriz102357:119
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)