Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantins vs Batalhao

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Thiago Juan
17' Event
Joao Vitor
19' Event
Gomes A.

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2025 game between Tocantins and Batalhao finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Batalhao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tocantins
30%
Draws
58%
Batalhao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Batalhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tocantins come out ahead of Batalhao on wins alone.
  • Batalhao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%
Batalhao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Batalhao
Matches Played 37 26
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.49 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Batalhao
0:5
Feb 24, 2024 Tocantinense
Batalhao vs Tocantins
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantins Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Batalhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Juan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
Batalhao 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Batalhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Batalhao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Batalhao let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tocantins scored in 49% of their last 37 games.

Tocantins went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Batalhao
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 8

Batalhao

(Away)
15 Mar
Tocantinopolis
4 : 2
Batalhao
08 Mar
Batalhao
1 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
01 Mar
Tocantins
0 : 5
Batalhao
23 Feb
Batalhao
2 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
15 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 0
Batalhao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Capital FC 7 5 0 2 8:4 15
3 Araguaina 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
4 Gurupi 7 2 4 1 9:5 10
5 Uniao Carmolandense 7 3 1 3 7:12 7
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Batalhao 7 1 3 3 12:11 6
8 Tocantins 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
Promotion - Tocantinense 2025 (Play Offs)