Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantins vs Guarai SC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tocantins in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tocantins
39%
Draws
30%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarai SC have won more games recently than Tocantins.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Guarai SC
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0 3.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
4:3
Apr 4, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:1
May 2, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 22, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 30 / 100
Guarai SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Guarai SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Guarai SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Guarai SC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tocantins scored in 46% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Guarai SC
0 Goals Scored 3.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%