Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014

Tocantins

5 - 1

Guarai SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantins in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantins.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tocantins

39%

Draws

30%

Guarai SC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Guarai SC have won more games recently than Tocantins.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Guarai SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tocantins	Guarai SC
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	2	7
Losses	21	12
Goals Scored	0	3.75
Goals Conceded	3	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Tocantinense 2

Guarai SC vs Tocantins

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 4 - 4

3:0

May 5, 2015 Tocantinense

Tocantins vs Guarai SC

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

4:3

Apr 4, 2015 Tocantinense

Guarai SC vs Tocantins

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

May 2, 2014 Tocantinense

Tocantins vs Guarai SC

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

5:1

Mar 22, 2014 Tocantinense

Guarai SC vs Tocantins

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 30 / 100

Guarai SC 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tocantins Guarai SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Guarai SC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Tocantins scored in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Guarai SC

0 Goals Scored 3.75

3 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 100%

0% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gurupi	14	8	1	5	21:14	25
2	Tocantinopolis	14	7	3	4	30:19	24
3	Palmas	14	6	6	2	31:23	24
4	Interporto	14	6	4	4	18:11	22
5	Tocantins	14	5	4	5	23:21	19
6	Araguaina	14	5	4	5	18:21	19
7	Colinas	14	2	6	6	19:34	12
8	Guarai SC	14	1	4	9	11:28	7