Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantins vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kamdem A. M.
80' Event
Maia A.
90' Event
Soares Machado M.

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Tocantinense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tocantins
15%
Draws
76%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantinopolis lately — more wins on the board than Tocantins.
  • Tocantinopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tocantinopolis here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 17
Draws 2 11
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.67 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Tocantinopolis
0:3
Mar 10, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins
3:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins
4:1
Mar 20, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Tocantinopolis
0:4
Feb 12, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantins Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamdem A. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
Tocantinopolis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Tocantinopolis has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Tocantins found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Tocantins has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Capital FC 7 5 0 2 8:4 15
3 Araguaina 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
4 Gurupi 7 2 4 1 9:5 10
5 Uniao Carmolandense 7 3 1 3 7:12 7
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Batalhao 7 1 3 3 12:11 6
8 Tocantins 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
Promotion - Tocantinense 2025 (Play Offs)