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Tocha vs Sao Joao de Ver Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro game between Tocha and Sao Joao de Ver finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocha
20%
Draws
32%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Joao de Ver come out ahead of Tocha on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tocha Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocha Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Dec 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sao Joao de Ver vs Tocha
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocha 32 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocha Sao Joao de Ver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Joao de Ver's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sao Joao de Ver registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tocha scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sao Joao de Ver
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

(Home)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
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Sao Joao de Ver

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
Promotion - Segunda Liga 2013/2014 (Main)