Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League City Football Station

Tochigi City

Sun, Mar 8, 2026

1 - 2

05:00 AM

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Yoshida A.

Assist: Nishiya K.

39'

Fujimura R.

Assist: Nakashima T.

41'

Farzan Sana M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thespakusatsu Gunma in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Tochigi City

11%

Draws

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tochigi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Tochigi City have won more games recently than Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Win probability leans Tochigi City's way, sitting at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

Tochigi City Clean Sheet 68%

Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tochigi City	Thespakusatsu Gunma
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	13
Draws	2	1
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.25	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tochigi City vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Jul 19, 2025 J3 League

Tochigi City vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Feb 22, 2025 J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi City

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tochigi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujimura R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi City 86 / 100

Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tochigi City Thespakusatsu Gunma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tochigi City scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Thespakusatsu Gunma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tochigi City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi City VS Thespakusatsu Gunma

1.25 Goals Scored 2.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15