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Tochigi SC vs Blaublitz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya
Sun, May 10, 2026
1 - 0
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Handa K. In: Suzuki S.
Out: Handa K.
56'
Sub
Umeda K. In: Sagawa K.
Out: Umeda K.
64'
Sub
Oishi R. In: Nakano Y.
Out: Oishi R.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tochigi SC and Blaublitz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tochigi SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tochigi SC
35%
Draws
53%
Blaublitz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Blaublitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Blaublitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Blaublitz a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 13%
Blaublitz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tochigi SC Blaublitz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Blaublitz
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Blaublitz vs Tochigi SC
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Blaublitz
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 J2 League
Blaublitz vs Tochigi SC
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Blaublitz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi SC 14 / 100
Blaublitz 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tochigi SC Blaublitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blaublitz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tochigi SC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Blaublitz conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Tochigi SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi SC VS Blaublitz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tochigi SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

Blaublitz

(Away)
04 Oct
Blaublitz
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2
Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 1
Blaublitz
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1
Tokushima
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)