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Tochigi SC vs Reilac Shiga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tochigi SC host Reilac Shiga in the J3 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tochigi SC have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Reilac Shiga's 1.14 scored and 1.64 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.25, favoring Reilac Shiga. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tochigi SC
35%
Draws
46%
Reilac Shiga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Reilac Shiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Reilac Shiga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 19%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tochigi SC Reilac Shiga
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi SC 32 / 100
Reilac Shiga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tochigi SC Reilac Shiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reilac Shiga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tochigi SC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Reilac Shiga let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Tochigi SC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Reilac Shiga's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi SC VS Reilac Shiga
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tochigi SC

(Home)
11 Oct
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Reilac Shiga

(Away)
10 Oct
Fukushima United
2 : 2
Reilac Shiga
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
20 Sept
Reilac Shiga
3 : 0
Ryukyu
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2
Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ehime 10 7 2 1 24:10 23
2 Kagoshima United 10 7 2 1 19:11 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
4 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
5 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
6 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
7 Gifu 10 5 1 4 20:10 16
8 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
9 Kumamoto 10 3 5 2 7:6 14
10 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
12 Gainare Tottori 10 4 1 5 12:19 13
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 10 2 5 3 9:11 11
14 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
15 Tochigi SC 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
16 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)