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Todesfelde vs Nordmark Satrup

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026 game between Todesfelde and Nordmark Satrup finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Todesfelde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Todesfelde
20%
Draws
42%
Nordmark Satrup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nordmark Satrup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Nordmark Satrup haven't matched Todesfelde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Todesfelde's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Todesfelde have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Todesfelde Clean Sheet 16%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Todesfelde Nordmark Satrup
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 23 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Todesfelde vs Nordmark Satrup
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Todesfelde
5:0
May 18, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Todesfelde
1:5
Aug 6, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Todesfelde vs Nordmark Satrup
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Todesfelde 48 / 100
Nordmark Satrup 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Todesfelde Nordmark Satrup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Todesfelde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Todesfelde scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Nordmark Satrup has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Todesfelde remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Todesfelde VS Nordmark Satrup
2.13 Goals Scored 1.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Todesfelde

(Home)
16 Aug
Schoningen
2 : 0
Todesfelde
12 Aug
Hamburger II
2 : 2
Todesfelde
09 Aug
Todesfelde
3 : 3
Werder Bremen II
02 Aug
Todesfelde
6 : 4
St. Pauli II
25 Jul
Hansa Rostock II
0 : 3
Todesfelde
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Nordmark Satrup

(Away)
15 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3
Oldenburger SV
08 Aug
Lubeck II
2 : 4
Nordmark Satrup
04 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
2 : 1
Eckernforder SV
01 Aug
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 2
Nordmark Satrup
16 May
Nordmark Satrup
2 : 1
VfR Neumunster
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 26 2 2 80:24 77
2 Holstein Kiel II 30 20 5 5 83:26 65
3 Kilia Kiel 30 19 4 7 87:37 61
4 Eichede 30 16 11 3 59:30 59
5 VfR Neumunster 30 15 5 10 61:55 50
6 Heider SV 30 14 5 11 59:58 47
7 PSV Neumunster 30 13 5 12 68:62 44
8 Phonix Lubeck B 30 12 6 12 63:70 42
9 Nordmark Satrup 30 12 4 14 44:51 40
10 Kaltenkirchener 30 10 6 14 49:53 36
11 Rotenhof 30 9 7 14 51:70 34
12 Hohenwestedt 30 8 5 17 48:64 29
13 Oldenburger SV 30 8 5 17 61:86 29
14 Eutin 08 30 7 6 17 32:65 27
15 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 6 2 22 31:77 20
16 Preussen Reinfeld 30 4 4 22 38:86 16
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg 2025/2026 (Promotion)