Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sabah H.
44' Event
Petrick B.
53' Event
Korting T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North game between Todesfelde and St. Pauli II finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Todesfelde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Todesfelde
30%
Draws
19%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Todesfelde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Todesfelde come out ahead of St. Pauli II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Todesfelde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Todesfelde Clean Sheet 16%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Todesfelde St. Pauli II
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 21 4
Draws 3 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Regionalliga North
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
6:4
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Regionalliga North
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
2:4
Oct 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Todesfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrick B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boland M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabah H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wardius J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Todesfelde 84 / 100
St. Pauli II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Todesfelde St. Pauli II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Todesfelde scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: St. Pauli II conceded in 96% of 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Todesfelde has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Todesfelde VS St. Pauli II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Todesfelde

(Home)
02 Aug
Todesfelde
6 : 4
St. Pauli II
25 Jul
Hansa Rostock II
0 : 3
Todesfelde
18 Jul
Todesfelde
3 : 2
Lubeck II
14 Jul
Kilia Kiel
1 : 1
Todesfelde
12 Jul
FSV Schwerin
0 : 1
Todesfelde
Page 1 of 6

St. Pauli II

(Away)
02 Aug
Todesfelde
6 : 4
St. Pauli II
26 Jul
Eintracht Norderstedt
1 : 1
St. Pauli II
12 Jul
St. Pauli II
5 : 5
Verden
02 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 2
St. Pauli II
16 May
Meppen
4 : 2
St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hannover II 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 VfB Oldenburg 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Todesfelde 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Schoningen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Drochtersen / Assel 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Emden 1 0 1 0 4:4 1
7 Hannoverscher SC 1 0 1 0 4:4 1
8 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Delmenhorst 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Lubeck 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Weiche Flensburg 08 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Hamburger II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Eimsbutteler 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Phonix Lubeck 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 St. Pauli II 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
16 Jeddeloh 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Werder Bremen II 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
18 Bremer 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)