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Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sabah H.
44' Event
Petrick B.
53' Event
Korting T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North game between Todesfelde and St. Pauli II finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Todesfelde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Todesfelde
15%
Draws
57%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Pauli II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Todesfelde come out ahead of St. Pauli II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Pauli II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Todesfelde Clean Sheet 10%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Todesfelde St. Pauli II
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 17 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.06 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Regionalliga North
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
6:4
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Todesfelde
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Regionalliga North
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
2:4
Oct 18, 2022 Club Friendly
Todesfelde vs St. Pauli II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Todesfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrick B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boland M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabah H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wardius J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Todesfelde 10 / 100
St. Pauli II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Todesfelde St. Pauli II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Todesfelde scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: St. Pauli II conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: St. Pauli II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Todesfelde VS St. Pauli II
1 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Todesfelde

(Home)
03 Oct
Emden
1 : 2
Todesfelde
25 Sept
Lubeck
3 : 2
Todesfelde
19 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 1
Todesfelde
16 Sept
Phonix Lubeck
9 : 0
Todesfelde
13 Sept
Todesfelde
0 : 2
Bremer
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St. Pauli II

(Away)
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0
St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 12 9 1 2 36:14 28
2 Drochtersen / Assel 12 8 1 3 40:18 25
3 Hannover II 12 7 3 2 26:16 24
4 Schoningen 12 7 3 2 19:17 24
5 Phonix Lubeck 11 7 2 2 30:9 23
6 VfB Oldenburg 11 7 1 3 33:17 22
7 Emden 12 5 3 4 32:32 18
8 Delmenhorst 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Eimsbutteler 12 4 2 6 21:33 14
10 Eintracht Norderstedt 11 3 4 4 23:27 13
11 Hannoverscher SC 12 3 4 5 17:26 13
12 Lubeck 12 2 6 4 14:21 12
13 Werder Bremen II 11 3 2 6 16:20 11
14 Todesfelde 12 3 2 7 21:38 11
15 St. Pauli II 11 3 1 7 20:21 10
16 Hamburger II 11 3 1 7 15:25 10
17 Jeddeloh 12 3 1 8 18:32 10
18 Bremer 11 2 2 7 9:21 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)