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Toftir vs HB Torshavn

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Premier League Svangaskard
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toftir play HB Torshavn in the Premier League. HB Torshavn are favorites here. Recently, Toftir averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. HB Torshavn averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Toftir won 1, HB Torshavn won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 26, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Toftir and 1.63 for HB Torshavn. This points to a HB Torshavn double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Toftir
16%
Draws
61%
HB Torshavn
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: HB Torshavn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Toftir picked up more points recently compared to HB Torshavn.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Toftir Clean Sheet 14%
HB Torshavn Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toftir HB Torshavn
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.3 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Premier League
Toftir vs HB Torshavn
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Toftir vs HB Torshavn
3:1
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
HB Torshavn vs Toftir
5:1
Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Toftir vs HB Torshavn
1:4
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
HB Torshavn vs Toftir
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toftir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

HB Torshavn Compare

Top Goalscorer Soylu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toftir 24 / 100
HB Torshavn 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toftir HB Torshavn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HB Torshavn Win (2)
Secondary Pick HB Torshavn & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toftir attacking → ← attacking HB Torshavn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toftir scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

HB Torshavn let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Toftir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

HB Torshavn lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 59
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NSI Runavik16104230:1634
2Klaksvik1687131:1231
3B36 Torshavn1676327:2027
4Vikingur1668224:1626
5HB Torshavn1673628:2324
6AB Argir1662822:2520
7EB Streymur1645718:2317
8Skala Itrottarfelag1635815:2414
907 Vestur Sorvagur16411112:3013
10Toftir16331017:3512