Sport Picks
TOGB vs Blauw Geel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
TOGB in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to TOGB lately — more wins on the board than Blauw Geel.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TOGB | Blauw Geel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Blauw Geel
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs TOGB
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Blauw Geel
2:1
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs TOGB
3:3
Dec 15, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Blauw Geel
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TOGB 30 / 100
Blauw Geel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TOGB Blauw Geel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOGB's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Blauw Geel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
TOGB has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
TOGB VS Blauw Geel
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
TOGB
(Home) 17 Oct
TOGB
3 : 3 VVSB
10 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
TOGB
3 : 3 VVSB
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 3
Blauw Geel
(Away) 17 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
10 Oct
VVSB
0 : 2 Blauw Geel
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1 UNA
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
VVSB
0 : 2 Blauw Geel
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
29 Aug
Achilles Veen
3 : 2 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 23 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 21 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Eemdijk | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:29 | 10 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 6 |
| 16 | VV DOVO | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 5 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 4 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 8 | SV Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
