Sport Picks

Netherlands

KNVB Beker

Katwijk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the KNVB Beker. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: TOGB at 1.91 goals for, 1.69 against; Katwijk at 1.8 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, TOGB have won 1 to Katwijk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2024, ending 6:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.75) back TOGB to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

TOGB

30%

Draws

39%

Katwijk

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Katwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

TOGB have won more games recently than Katwijk.
Katwijk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
TOGB have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

TOGB Clean Sheet 12%

Katwijk Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TOGB	Katwijk
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	5	8
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.91	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly

Katwijk vs TOGB

6:0

Aug 8, 2023 Club Friendly

Katwijk vs TOGB

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOGB 22 / 100

Katwijk 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TOGB Katwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Katwijk Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOGB found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Katwijk conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

TOGB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOGB VS Katwijk

1.25 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TOGB

(Home)

22 Aug

TOGB

1 : 3

SV Poortugaal

16 Aug

UNA

1 : 1

TOGB

08 Aug

Lisse

4 : 0

TOGB

11 Jul

Excelsior Maassluis

3 : 0

TOGB

23 May

VV Noordwijk

1 : 2

TOGB

Page 1 of 7

Katwijk

(Away)

29 Aug

Barendrecht

0 : 2

Katwijk

22 Aug

Katwijk

1 : 1

HSV Hoek

15 Aug

Spakenburg

1 : 0

Katwijk

04 Aug

Lisse

2 : 1

Katwijk

11 Jul

Katwijk

1 : 1

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

VV Hoogeveen -

SVZW Wierden -

Sportlust -

Blauw Geel -

Elinkwijk -

Eemdijk -

Longa '30 -

Koninklijke HFC -

NSVV -

VV Kloetinge -

Genemuiden -

Lisse -

Be Quick 1887 -

AFC -

USV Hercules -

EVV -

Rijnvogels -

VV Bennekom -

TOGB -

Katwijk -

Staphorst -

UNA -

Groene Ster -

VV Heerjansdam -

Alkmaarse FC 1934 -

VV Scherpenzeel -

Rkvv Spartaan 20 -

RKSV UDI 19 -

Dongen -

Watergraafsmeer -

Sparta Nijkerk -

Venray -

ADO 20 Heemskerk -

Excelsior Maassluis -

Purmersteijn -

RKVV Zwaluw -

Mierlo-Hout -

Germania Groesbeek -

GSV 28 -

Roosendaal -

TEC -

Almkerk -

Surhusterfean -

VV DOVO -

FC 's-Gravenzande -

Gemert -

HVV Hollandia -

RKSV Halsteren -

GOES -

VV Noordwijk -

HZVV Hoogeveen -

Frisia -

ACV Assen -

Westlandia -

Achilles Veen -

SV Poortugaal -

ATC 65 -

DVS '33 Ermelo -

Lierop -

VV Zwaluwen -

Harkemase Boys -

Excelsior 31 -

VVSB -

Ajax (Am) -

TBD -

1/64-finals

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

TOGB vs Katwijk

Netherlands

TOGB

Katwijk

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

TOGB

Katwijk

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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