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TOGB vs VVSB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TOGB host VVSB in the Derde Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: TOGB at 1.9 goals for, 2 against; VVSB at 1.75 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, TOGB have won 2 to VVSB's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.00) point toward VVSB. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
TOGB
15%
Draws
42%
VVSB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOGB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • VVSB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
VVSB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOGB VVSB
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs TOGB
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VVSB
4:4
Apr 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs TOGB
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VVSB
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VVSB
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOGB 34 / 100
VVSB 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOGB VVSB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVSB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOGB's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

VVSB let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: VVSB registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOGB VS VVSB
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TOGB

(Home)
10 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3
Roosendaal
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1
TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6
Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 7

VVSB

(Away)
10 Oct
VVSB
0 : 2
Blauw Geel
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
VVSB
2 : 1
Achilles Veen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:7 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
6 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
7 GOES 9 4 2 3 17:19 14
8 Dongen 9 4 1 4 21:21 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 Groene Ster 9 2 3 4 14:21 9
14 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
15 TOGB 9 2 2 5 13:21 8
16 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)