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Togo U23 vs Libya U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Togo U23
20%
Draws
70%
Libya U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libya U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libya U23 come out ahead of Togo U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Libya U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Togo U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Libya U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Togo U23 Libya U23
Matches Played 12 7
Wins 1 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Libya U23 vs Togo U23
3:1
Sep 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Togo U23 vs Libya U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Togo U23 31 / 100
Libya U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Togo U23 Libya U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Libya U23 conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Togo U23 scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Recent resilience: Togo U23 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Togo U23 VS Libya U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Libya U23
3 : 1
Togo U23
30 Sept
Togo U23
1 : 1
Libya U23
24 Sept
Togo U23
0 : 2
Benin U23
30 Jan
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 1
Togo U23
27 Jan
Togo U23
2 : 3
Iraq U23
Page 1 of 3

Libya U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Libya U23
3 : 1
Togo U23
30 Sept
Togo U23
1 : 1
Libya U23
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23
25 Mar
Nigeria U23
4 : 0
Libya U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -