Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Togo vs Niger

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sama A.
64' Event
Jules T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Togo
35%
Draws
16%
Niger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Togo haven't matched Niger's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Togo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Niger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Togo Clean Sheet 68%
Niger Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Togo Niger
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Niger vs Togo
0:1
Dec 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Togo
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Togo vs Niger
1:1
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Niger vs Togo
1:2
Sep 3, 2022 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Togo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sama A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Niger Compare

Top Goalscorer Jules T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Togo 95 / 100
Niger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Togo Niger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Togo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Togo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Niger has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Togo VS Niger
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo

(Home)
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
Page 1 of 6

Niger

(Away)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6