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Toi Seng vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toi Seng play Cheng Fung in the Elite League 2023. Cheng Fung are favorites here. Recently, Toi Seng averaged 1.06 goals scored and 3.75 conceded. Cheng Fung averaged 1.81 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Toi Seng won 0, Cheng Fung won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 16, 2023 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Toi Seng and 1.18 for Cheng Fung. This points to a Cheng Fung double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Toi Seng
21%
Draws
65%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Cheng Fung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Toi Seng picked up more points recently compared to Cheng Fung.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 20%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toi Seng Cheng Fung
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Cheng Fung
1:6
Apr 15, 2023 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Toi Seng
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toi Seng Compare

Top Goalscorer Ka-Meng N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lek Hang I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toi Seng 17 / 100
Cheng Fung 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toi Seng Cheng Fung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheng Fung Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cheng Fung & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toi Seng attacking → ← attacking Cheng Fung

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toi Seng scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Cheng Fung let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Toi Seng went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cheng Fung lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Must IPO16151073:446
2Benfica16131257:1440
3Monte Carlo16121364:1537
4Cheng Fung16101545:2031
5Lun Lok16511022:4316
6Hang Sai16411124:7513
7Tak Chun Ka I16411127:5813
8Sporting Macau16221223:638
9Toi Seng16211317:607