Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Sultanbeyli

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tokat Bld Plevnespor play Sultanbeyli in the 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tokat Bld Plevnespor averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Sultanbeyli averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Tokat Bld Plevnespor won 1, Sultanbeyli won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 3, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Tokat Bld Plevnespor and 1.13 for Sultanbeyli. This points to a Tokat Bld Plevnespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
23%
Draws
31%
Sultanbeyli
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tokat Bld Plevnespor picked up more points recently compared to Sultanbeyli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor Clean Sheet 21%
Sultanbeyli Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokat Bld Plevnespor Sultanbeyli
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Sultanbeyli
3:0
Oct 21, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ozbilen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sultanbeyli Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 46 / 100
Sultanbeyli 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokat Bld Plevnespor Sultanbeyli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tokat Bld Plevnespor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tokat Bld Plevnespor attacking → ← attacking Sultanbeyli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokat Bld Plevnespor scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Sultanbeyli let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sultanbeyli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 26
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adana 0128203560:2763
2Sebat Spor Kulubu28155842:2750
3Musspor281211541:2947
4Tokat Bld Plevnespor28129732:2745
5Alanya 1221281110742:3343
6Bursa Yildirimspor28119839:3442
7Orduspor 196728118949:3341
8Balikesirspor28712928:3233
9Izmir Coruhlu28871334:3931
10Cankaya FK28613926:3731
1123 Elazig FK28871325:4231
12Nevsehir28861419:3130
13Siirt Ozel28781321:3229
14Catalca Spor285111227:3826
15Sultanbeyli28671526:5025