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Tokushima vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tokushima host Vanraure in the J2 League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Tokushima have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Vanraure's 0.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Tokushima. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tokushima
15%
Draws
28%
Vanraure
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tokushima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tokushima a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 20%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokushima Vanraure
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.43 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokushima 40 / 100
Vanraure 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokushima Vanraure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tokushima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokushima's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vanraure let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Vanraure has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Tokushima stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tokushima VS Vanraure
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokushima

(Home)
10 Oct
Tokushima
1 : 2
Imabari
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Tokushima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0
Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0
Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Vanraure

(Away)
10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1
Vanraure
04 Oct
Vanraure
0 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)