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Toledo vs AA Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Toledo Logo

Toledo

1 - 1
FT
AA Iguacu Logo

AA Iguacu

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Gomes A.
21'
Thawan
90' Event
Vitinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paranaense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Toledo
20%
Draws
51%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AA Iguacu at 1.17 per game, Toledo at 0.97.
  • Win probability leans AA Iguacu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Toledo Clean Sheet 22%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo AA Iguacu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs AA Iguacu
1:1
May 21, 2023 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Toledo
2:1
Apr 20, 2022 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs AA Iguacu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

AA Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Maikinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 10 / 100
AA Iguacu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Iguacu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toledo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: AA Iguacu conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Toledo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS AA Iguacu
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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AA Iguacu

(Away)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)