Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs AA Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Gomes A.
21'
Thawan
90' Event
Vitinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paranaense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Toledo
6%
Draws
90%
AA Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Toledo at 0.63 per game, AA Iguacu at 0.6.
  • Win probability leans AA Iguacu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Toledo Clean Sheet 18%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo AA Iguacu
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.6
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs AA Iguacu
1:1
May 21, 2023 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Toledo
2:1
Apr 20, 2022 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs AA Iguacu
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

AA Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Maikinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 10 / 100
AA Iguacu 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo AA Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toledo scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

AA Iguacu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Toledo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS AA Iguacu
0.63 Goals Scored 0.6
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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AA Iguacu

(Away)
07 Jun
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 1
AA Iguacu
01 Jun
AA Iguacu
1 : 1
Paranavai-PR
25 May
Toledo
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
18 May
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Parana S.T.C.
10 May
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Laranja Mecanica
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galo Maringa972018:423
2Paranavai-PR952216:617
3Foz do Iguacu952217:917
4Patriotas94149:1513
5Nacional PR93249:1211
6Batel924310:1310
7Laranja Mecanica92435:910
8Toledo92346:139
9AA Iguacu913510:146
10Parana S.T.C.91357:126
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)