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Toledo vs CD Pedroneras

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Penalver D.
28' Event
Willy A.
34' Event
Moraleda A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 game between Toledo and CD Pedroneras finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Toledo
20%
Draws
70%
CD Pedroneras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Pedroneras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • CD Pedroneras haven't matched Toledo's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on CD Pedroneras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Toledo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Pedroneras Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo CD Pedroneras
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Pedroneras vs Toledo
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs CD Pedroneras
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs CD Pedroneras
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Pedroneras vs Toledo
0:2
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Pedroneras vs Toledo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Willy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moraleda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Pedroneras Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalver D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 16 / 100
CD Pedroneras 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo CD Pedroneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Pedroneras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Pedroneras has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Toledo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS CD Pedroneras
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0
Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Puertollano C.F.
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CD Pedroneras

(Away)
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
CD Pedroneras
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
18 Apr
CD Guadalajara B
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
12 Apr
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Marchamalo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)