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Toledo vs Mora CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Toledo
15%
Draws
20%
Mora CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Toledo have won more games recently than Mora CF.
  • Toledo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Toledo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Toledo Clean Sheet 20%
Mora CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Mora CF
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 23 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.84 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Mora CF
2:1
Jan 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Toledo
1:2
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Mora CF
2:1
Oct 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Mora CF vs Toledo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 85 / 100
Mora CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Mora CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Mora CF let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Toledo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
Toledo
4 : 0
La Solana
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
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Mora CF

(Away)
17 Nov
San Agustin
6 : 2
Mora CF
19 May
Toledo
2 : 1
Mora CF
12 May
Mora CF
2 : 1
CD Tarancon
05 May
La Solana
1 : 0
Mora CF
27 Apr
Mora CF
0 : 1
Marchamalo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socuellamos 38 28 7 3 83:16 91
2 Villarrubia 38 23 6 9 61:37 75
3 Villarrobledo 38 23 6 9 68:42 75
4 Toledo 38 22 4 12 68:43 70
5 Albacete B 38 17 12 9 64:43 63
6 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 15 13 10 39:31 58
7 La Roda 38 15 10 13 41:40 55
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 6 17 49:59 51
9 Puertollano C.F. 38 14 9 15 43:47 51
10 Azuqueca 38 14 8 16 57:55 50
11 Madridejos 38 14 7 17 39:40 49
12 Atletico Ibanes 38 13 6 19 55:58 45
13 La Solana 38 12 9 17 38:55 45
14 CD Tarancon 38 13 5 20 56:74 44
15 Guadalajara 38 13 4 21 45:67 43
16 Almagro 38 11 10 17 40:51 43
17 Villacanas 38 11 9 18 39:56 42
18 Tomelloso 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
19 Marchamalo 38 10 7 21 33:65 37
20 Mora CF 38 9 8 21 27:50 35
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)