Sport Picks
Toledo vs UD Almansa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
AI Match Summary
Toledo host UD Almansa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Toledo at 1.65 goals for, 0.68 against; UD Almansa at 1.34 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Toledo have won 2 to UD Almansa's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2020, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.05 vs 1.41, favoring Toledo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toledo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toledo | UD Almansa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.05 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toledo scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
UD Almansa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Toledo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Toledo
(Home)UD Almansa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 6 | UD Almansa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 7 | CD Tarancon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 8 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 9 | Marchamalo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Quintanar del Rey | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Socuellamos | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 15 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 17 | CD Guadalajara B | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracan de Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 0 |
