Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs Uniao PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bruninho

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2024 game between Toledo and Uniao PR finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Toledo
20%
Draws
40%
Uniao PR
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Toledo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uniao PR a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Toledo Clean Sheet 19%
Uniao PR Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Uniao PR
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Paranaense 3
Uniao PR vs Toledo
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Uniao PR
1:0
Jan 22, 2020 Paranaense
Toledo vs Uniao PR
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Paranaense
Uniao PR vs Toledo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Uniao PR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 10 / 100
Uniao PR 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Uniao PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao PR conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Toledo found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Uniao PR has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Uniao PR
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
Page 1 of 7

Uniao PR

(Away)
12 Sept
Uniao PR
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
05 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
2 : 1
Uniao PR
30 Aug
Uniao PR
2 : 0
Campo Mourao
23 Aug
Oeste Brasil
3 : 1
Uniao PR
08 Aug
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Uniao PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batel 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Hope Internacional 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Iraty 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
4 Araucaria 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
5 Prudentopolis 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arapongas 8 6 1 1 24:5 19
2 Rolandia EC 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
4 Campo Mourao 8 3 1 4 18:15 10
5 CA Cambe 8 0 1 7 3:31 1
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vere FC 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Toledo 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Oeste Brasil 6 3 0 3 10:5 9
4 Uniao PR 6 1 0 5 1:11 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams