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Toledo W vs Coritiba W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
dos Santos Maciel G. A.
16' Event
Jessica Miracatu
27' Event
Alves Rezene A. L.

AI Match Summary

Coritiba W in this Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coritiba W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Toledo W
15%
Draws
59%
Coritiba W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coritiba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Coritiba W have won more games recently than Toledo W.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Coritiba W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coritiba W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Toledo W Clean Sheet 10%
Coritiba W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo W Coritiba W
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 4 23
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.35 2.23
Goals Conceded 3.29 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Paranaense Women
Coritiba W vs Toledo W
4:1
Dec 7, 2025 Paranaense Women
Toledo W vs Coritiba W
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Paranaense Women
Toledo W vs Coritiba W
0:5
Apr 27, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Toledo W vs Coritiba W
1:4
Oct 24, 2024 Paranaense Women
Coritiba W vs Toledo W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo W Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Maciel G. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Coritiba W Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga Baiak M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jessica Miracatu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo W 10 / 100
Coritiba W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo W Coritiba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coritiba W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Toledo W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coritiba W conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Toledo W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Toledo W VS Coritiba W
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo W

(Home)
14 Dec
Coritiba W
4 : 1
Toledo W
07 Dec
Toledo W
0 : 2
Coritiba W
23 Nov
Toledo W
2 : 1
Novo Mundo W
16 Nov
Patriotas W
0 : 0
Toledo W
09 Nov
Toledo W
0 : 5
Coritiba W
Page 1 of 4

Coritiba W

(Away)
27 Sept
Galo Maringa W
0 : 6
Coritiba W
08 Aug
Realidade Jovem W
2 : 0
Coritiba W
01 Aug
Coritiba W
2 : 1
Realidade Jovem W
20 Jul
Coritiba W
0 : 1
Internacional W
30 May
Coritiba W
2 : 0
Heips W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galvez W 3 3 0 0 9:4 9
2 Rolim de Moura W 3 1 1 1 12:3 4
3 Taruma W 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Recanto W 3 0 0 3 2:21 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Operario MS W 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Cresspom W 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
4 Várzea Grande EC W 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perolas Negras W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Itabirito W 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Realidade Jovem W 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 Pinda Ferroviaria W 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Brasil de Farroupilha W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Criciuma W 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Toledo W 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga AP W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Tuna Luso W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Sao Raimundo RR W 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Manaus W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Ceara W 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Uniao RN W 3 1 0 2 7:3 3
4 IAPE W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Alagoana W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Ipojuca W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Mixto PB W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Guarani de Paripueira W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doce Mel W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Juventude W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Prosperidade W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Alagoinhas W 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)