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Tolka vs Wayside Celtic

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Tolka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tolka
15%
Draws
42%
Wayside Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tolka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Tolka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tolka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%
Wayside Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolka Wayside Celtic
Matches Played 17 15
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Wayside Celtic
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolka 30 / 100
Wayside Celtic 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolka Wayside Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolka found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Wayside Celtic has conceded goals in 73% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Wayside Celtic registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tolka VS Wayside Celtic
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolka

(Home)
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0
Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0
Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1
Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4

Wayside Celtic

(Away)
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4
St Mochta's
18 Jul
Bray
3 : 0
Wayside Celtic
15 May
Wayside Celtic
4 : 0
River Valley Rangers
21 Jul
Wayside Celtic
1 : 3
Wexford
17 May
Wayside Celtic
2 : 1
Collinstown
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0