Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tollnes vs Skarphedin

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skarphedin in this Division 3 - Group 5 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skarphedin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tollnes
15%
Draws
39%
Skarphedin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tollnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tollnes lately — more wins on the board than Skarphedin.
  • Tollnes are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 15%
Skarphedin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tollnes Skarphedin
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Skarphedin
1:3
Jun 14, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Skarphedin vs Tollnes
0:2
Aug 24, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Skarphedin
0:3
May 14, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Skarphedin vs Tollnes
1:0
Apr 10, 2010 NM Cup
Tollnes vs Skarphedin
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tollnes 75 / 100
Skarphedin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tollnes Skarphedin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tollnes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollnes's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Skarphedin has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tollnes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skarphedin
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tollnes

(Home)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
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Skarphedin

(Away)
18 Apr
Skarphedin
0 : 9
Odds BK
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
15 Oct
Skarphedin
3 : 2
Vigor
01 Oct
Madla IL
4 : 1
Skarphedin
24 Sept
Skarphedin
0 : 1
IL Express
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