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Tolmin vs Fama Vipava

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Tolmin and Fama Vipava finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tolmin
15%
Draws
32%
Fama Vipava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tolmin come out ahead of Fama Vipava on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tolmin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 19%
Fama Vipava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Fama Vipava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Fama Vipava
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
1:2
May 27, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Fama Vipava
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
0:1
Mar 20, 2022 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 85 / 100
Fama Vipava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Fama Vipava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fama Vipava has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Tolmin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tolmin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Fama Vipava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Fama Vipava
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Fama Vipava

(Away)
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
29 Aug
Izola
11 : 0
Fama Vipava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)