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Tolmin vs IB 1975 Ljubljana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Cubeddu I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Tolmin and IB 1975 Ljubljana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tolmin
20%
Draws
33%
IB 1975 Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • IB 1975 Ljubljana haven't matched Tolmin's recent run of results.
  • Tolmin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tolmin have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 20%
IB 1975 Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin IB 1975 Ljubljana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs IB 1975 Ljubljana
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs IB 1975 Ljubljana
5:0
Oct 11, 2025 3. SNL - West
IB 1975 Ljubljana vs Tolmin
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 85 / 100
IB 1975 Ljubljana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin IB 1975 Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IB 1975 Ljubljana conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Tolmin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tolmin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS IB 1975 Ljubljana
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
Page 1 of 6

IB 1975 Ljubljana

(Away)
03 Oct
IB 1975 Ljubljana
2 : 1
Adria Miren
27 Sept
Ziri
0 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Skofja Loka
3 : 2
IB 1975 Ljubljana
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)