Sport Picks

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Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Tolmin and Rudar Trbovlje finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rudar Trbovlje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tolmin
15%
Draws
32%
Rudar Trbovlje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolmin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tolmin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 17%
Rudar Trbovlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Rudar Trbovlje
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje
5:1
Mar 28, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Tolmin
4:1
Mar 22, 2014 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Tolmin
0:2
Aug 24, 2013 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Rudar Trbovlje
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 84 / 100
Rudar Trbovlje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Rudar Trbovlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolmin's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rudar Trbovlje has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tolmin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Rudar Trbovlje
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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Rudar Trbovlje

(Away)
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
13 Sept
Rudar Trbovlje
1 : 3
Dob
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
29 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
3 : 1
Adria Miren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)